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Detailed Runner By Runner Full Meeting Analysis

Next Meeting
EAGLE FARM - SENT AS A WORD DOC WITH $10 VOUCHER BACK
13th June
NOW POSTED

Sizzlers Recent Winners

    Thebudgiesmugla
    Randwick
    May 23, 2026

    The nose winner of Race 4

    -1.6 lengths below benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    Came off a -1.2 lengths below benchmark run at Gosford when a close up 5th, but ranked just 40th on their standalone day on good ground. Conversely this was in genuinely wet conditions, as he stepped from 2100 to 2400 when only 3rd up 2nd local prep Ex-NZ. Shared the lead going just -11.3 lengths below benchmark, before -2.0 in the mid race and -0.6 last 400. Did find 2.1 lengths under full pressure last 200. He's shown significant improvement this time in with his two Rosehill wins last spring just -7.0 and -5.0. With wet track indicators from +4.9 to +6.3 he'll thrive into winter conditions. 

    Subsequently: Winner Randwick 13/06

    Nobler
    Randwick
    Apr 25, 2026

    The 0.4 length winner of Race 8

    -2.8 lengths below benchmark ranked 21st on the day

    Summary

    A modest IVR figure to include, but as an import in just BM78 grade after coming from a near non-winning position he deserves great respect through the grades and up in trip. Just -13.3 at the 800, and that had him 7 lengths from the lead. -5.5 in the mid race was an easy 8 length squeeze, but +6.9 over the last 400 was excellent with last bit best bit +4.5 last 200. The context was it was the 3rd best last 400, and best last 200 of the day at the end of the mile. His lightly raced overseas profile says "better further". We look forward to measuring his progress.

    Subsequently: Winner Gosford 09/05. Winner Randwick 13/06

    Nobler
    Gosford
    May 9, 2026

    The 0.5 length winner of Race 5

    +0.5 lengths above benchmark ranked 8th on the day

    Summary

    We sizzled him from a fortnight earlier despite just -2.8 lengths below benchmark given he came from a near non-winning position, and crushed the line with the 3rd best last 400 and best last 200 of the day. Here the race shape was significantly different and he thrived on it. -1.8 at the 800 was 11.5 lengths faster first section race to race, before +2.1 in the mid race and -0.1 last 400. This gives him both the speed and the "miles in legs" base, to step up in trip. This is just BM72 level and he's produced an open handicap performance. Can work through the grades and continue winning without surprise. 

    Subsequently: Winner Randwick 13/06

    Smashing Time
    Gosford
    May 9, 2026

    The 0.8 length winner of Race 2

    +1.2 lengths above benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    Slow maturing 4yo who 2nd up in blinkers first time has beaten his all time PB by a length, and produced a very strong best of the day performance despite racing in (only) Midway company. +2.0 lengths above benchmark at the 800 near matched with +1.5 in the mid race. Tapered over the last bit with -1.1 last 400 with all of that drop off over the last 200 in isolation. His previous 3 wins were all at Kembla, and this was his clear best away from that track. (-2.2 at Randwick October 2024. Would only need to hold this IVR figure to work through the grades.

    Subsequently: Winner Randwick 13/06

    War Eternal
    Doomben
    May 16, 2026

    The 0.7 length winner of Race 5

    Summary

    A genuine "swimmer" who had backing onto his first wet track for the prep, and while the market support was on point, the data says there's still more to come despite being 8 years young. -0.8 at the 800 had him in the box seat, but the leaders dropped anchor so in the mid race he suffered a 6 length slowdown from -6.7 from the 800 to 400. His last 400 was -2.3, but last bit best bit +0.9 last 200 meaning a 4.2 length pick up late under full pressure. Last prep his best was +0.2 winning on the Randwick heavy, and he looks set to run to that from here. Should remain very hard to beat if conditions continue. 

    Subsequently: Winner Eagle Farm 06/06 then winner Eagle Farm 13/06

    Alalcance
    Eagle Farm
    May 30, 2026

    The 0.3 length winner of Race 3

    -1.9 lengths below benchmark ranked 34th on the day

    Summary

    Despite a modest IVR figure, this was an excellent win from two perspectives: 1/ A big run to run improvement from Doomben a fortnight earlier when -4.1 lengths below benchmark and 2/ She relaxed well going -3.2 lengths below benchmark sitting 2nd line, rather than +6.0 Randwick 07/03 and +4.4 in her lead in both at 2000 metres when leading on each occasion. She closed with -0.2 and -5.4 last 400. Autumn 2025 she was dominant in her two lead in wins to the Sydney Cup when +0.2 and +1.1 over 2000 and 2400, so there's scope for improvement. Looks perfectly placed for the Brisbane Cup from here.

    Subsequently: Winner Brisbane Cup 13/06 Eagle Farm

    Von Hauke
    Eagle Farm
    May 30, 2026

    The 2.6 length 10th in Race 8

    Benchmark ranked 15th on the day

    Summary

    A hidden run, and one which says he's worthy of consideration at a bolters price in a Stradbroke which seems his target. -5.8 at the 800 had him 8 lengths from the lead, before -1.1 and +3.0 last two sections which included the 2nd best last 600 and 400 of the day. His Cox Plate day mile win was a high quality +2.9 IVR figure and that's near certain to be very competitive if he can bring it in a fortnight over 1400 metres.

    Subsequently: 3rd Stradbroke at $41 Eagle Farm 13/06

    She's Got Pizzazz
    Eagle Farm
    May 30, 2026

    The 0.4 length 2nd in Race 9

    -0.6 lengths below benchmark ranked 22nd on the day

    Summary

    Deep into her prep but airborne! Came off a +0.8 length above benchmark win at Gold Coast ranked 4th on the day, and here an "out the back/no move" position, made her effort to just miss first class. Just -4.9 at the 800 had her 7.2 lengths from the lead, before -4.8 in the mid race. Last bit was best bit with +0.2 last 400, but +3.0 last 200 in isolation. That was the best of a very strong day and her 7 length ground made up was clearly the best of her career. Back here in a fortnight into the Dane Ripper over 1300 looks ideal. 

    Subsequently: Winner Dane Ripper 13/06 Eagle Farm

    Tron Bolt
    Rosehill
    May 30, 2026

    The 1.8 length winner of Race 1

    -6.4 lengths below benchmark ranked 42nd on the day

    Summary

    A very low IVR figure to include, but we're blending in his good margin -2.0 length below benchmark 8th best of the day lead in win at Kenso 13/05, with his outstanding Ground Made Up figure of 8.9 lengths in a 1300 metre race on bog heavy ground. -14.7 at the 800 had him 6.5 lengths from the lead, before -8.4 and -4.5 last two sections including last bit best bit -1.1 last 200 in isolation. For context he built from the 14th best last 800 to the 5th best last 200 of the day. In addition he produced a very strong +6.6 wet track indicator. The JJ Atkins looks a logical next step.

    Subsequently: Winner JJ Atkins Eagle Farm 13/06

    Royal Supremacy
    Randwick
    Oct 4, 2025

    The 0.8 length winner of Race 9

    +2.6 lengths above benchmark ranked 10th on the day

    Summary

    Lightly raced import in his first local prep and has raised the bar big time with the Metropolitan win, running blistering raw time of +9.8 lengths above benchmark, adjusted back 7.2 lengths allowing for the speed in the track and the solid pressure. +0.8 at the 800 was good speed but 4.8 lengths from the lead. +1.3 in the mid race, before genuine turn of foot acceleration closing with +7.7 last 400 with +5.6 of that the last 200 in isolation. That excellent closing speed and given his previous best here was -1.8 set at Randwick in June, he's trending the right way, and deserves respect into the Melbourne Cup.

    REPOST AFTER Q22 win Eagle Farm 13/06

    War Eternal
    Eagle Farm
    Jun 6, 2026

    The 0.2 length winner of Race 7

    +0.7 length above benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    Tough as teak veteran in career best form with a new PB as a rising 8 year old! Got the perfect race shape to enable it, stalking the lead going -4.1 at the 800, before +1.6 in the mid race and +1.7 last 400, elevating his adjust IVR figure from his Doomben win 3 weeks earlier when -1.8 lengths below benchmark on genuinely soft ground. He thrives on wet tracks and remains a player in similar mile range stakes this carnival, despite being deep into his prep which started in January. 

    Subsequently: Winner Eagle Farm 13/06

    Roadcone
    Caulfield Heath
    Dec 20, 2025

    The nose winner of Race 4

    -1.8 lengths below benchmark ranked 6th on the day

    Summary

    "Fell in" against at odds on favourite after getting the perfect run in front, but he's come off -6.5 first up and -2.3 mid November and given he was off a 5 week break, there should be more to come. +0.7 at the 800 was 6.7 length race to race elevation of early speed, before +0.9 in the mid race. Last 400 was -2.1 and that taper is where the improvement can come from. Won at Sandown 4th up late May with a similar figure, but a +3.3 last 400 turn of foot. Flemington BM84 January 10 from here???

    Reposting after 3rd up win Flemington 06/06 again with Luke Cartwright back on 

About Racetrack Ralphy

After a career in mainstream media including The Footy Show, Sunday Footy Show, Triple M, the ABC and SEN, I started this service in 2012 and was then lucky enough to shortly after be paired with Vince Accardi (Daily Sectionals) at RSN. Despite being a passionate racing fan all my life including being hands-on as a strapper when a teenager, and a racing manager for a private owner that gave me privileged insights into the Bart Cummings and Lee Freedman stables, I soon learned how much I didn't know. I've since immersed myself in the study of sectional times, and now concentrate on Melbourne city racing for my "meetings" work.

In a nutshell, this is the type of information I would have wanted from a form guide back when I had a "real" job and before I started doing this

I provide a detailed race overview, surmised by a "suggested bet" reflective of my personal thoughts and confidence at time of posting Saturday morning*, (see below) a market to 100% with an assessed price for any runner $41 or below, I write a paragraph on nearly every horse, (the odd "no hoper" is given barely a line) with all analysis and opinions based on my own work and seen via the prism of Vince Accardi's IVR post meeting data reports.

Why the Italics of "at time of posting Saturday morning"?

The legendary Sydney form analyst Dominic Beirne once said "you'll quickly go broke ignoring the collective intelligence of the market". So when I post/make available for purchase early Saturday morning, I do so with the confidence that I have written up deeply researched information that has formed my opinions. However pre-race once a flood of money has cascaded into the market, "new" information has entered the equation and it shapes how I approach my personal confidence and thoughts, and particularly with "unknowns" such as a first up horse - how fit does the market expect it to be? - or a runner having his 2nd start after an easy slow time debut country win - does the market think he was capable of much more? - just two examples.

What don't I provide?

I don't tell you how you should spend your money with a staking plan. (I once did. I stopped it. My strength and this service's DNA is providing good quality deeply researched analysis.) As the old gag goes about legendary Australian businessman Kerry Packer, he was never a big punter despite betting millions because he never had his last $20 on anything. Everyone's personal circumstances and reasons for purchasing are different. I never cut corners with information provided nor intent for it to be helpful to each and every customer. From there use it how you wish and please gamble responsibly.

Swanny & Friends

After a debacle of a first season, Dane Swan is back to talk footy and irrelevant life issues. Mainly the latter.