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Detailed Runner By Runner Full Meeting Analysis

Next Meeting
Caulfield
27TH SEPTEMBER
CAULFIELD SUNDAY POSTED AT 10:30AM

Sizzlers Recent Winners

    Decorum
    Randwick
    Aug 28, 2026

    The 2.5 length 4th in trial 3

    -5.7 lengths below benchmark ranked 61st of the session

    Summary

    Lightly raced NOTE NOW GELDED 4yo with his best in front of him, and this trial was all about a late "explosion" that has him on point for his return. -10.9 and -5.7 first two sections, and -2.4, -2.5 in the 200 increments from the 600 to 200, but +3.0 last 200 was blistering meaning a 5.5 length turn of foot. That's super! He bumped into subsequent Group 1 winner ATTICA on debut last September when -4.1 lengths below benchmark, and he returned February with a -1.1 win at Warwick Farm ranked 3rd on the day. A continuation of that trendline would see him taking beating when first up placed right.

    Subsequently: Winner Randwick 05/09 and Winner Rosehill 26/09

    Decorum
    Randwick
    Sep 5, 2026

    The 2 length winner of Race 5

    +0.5 lengths above benchmark ranked 12th on the day

    Summary

    We stamped him at the trials leading in, and he came to play big time in his first run as a gelding producing a new PB from first up last prep when -1.1 lengths below benchmark winner at Warwick Farm. Here settled 4.8 lengths from the lead at the 800, before +0.1 in the mid race and +4.7 last 400. Really let down with last bit best bit +3.7 last 200 in isolation which was the 8th best of the day. Excellent 7 length ground made up figure, and his profile says he'll be better over 1400/mile range. Looks set for more wins off this BM78.

    Subsequently: Winner Rosehill 26/09

    Blue Door
    Rosehill
    Aug 15, 2026

    The 1 length 2nd in Race 8

    -0.8 lengths below benchmark ranked 5th on the day

    Summary

    Excellent return for her 2nd race start matching her debut winning IVR time from Randwick in April, but after having to go 4.5 lengths faster early. +0.5 at the 800, before -1.6 in the mid race and -1.5 last 400. Virtually all of that was in the last 200 in isolation, which says there's significant fitness improvement to come this time in. Looks a real player in the fillies spring stakes races. 

    Subsequently: 2nd Randwick 29/08 then winner Rosehill 26/09

    Lazzura
    Rosehill
    Sep 12, 2026

    The 0.6 length 3rd in Race 7

    +0.5 lengths above benchmark ranked 7th on the day

    Summary

    Group 1 Coolmore winner in the autumn over 1500 metres, and this resuming 1200 run said another big win would be no surprise. While it matched her first up figure of last spring, that was a walk/dash home race shape, while this was sustained tempo. -0.3 at the 800 when 3.6 lengths from the lead, before +2.0 and +1.0 last two sections. This included a flat spot slowdown from the 400 to 200. She finished her last prep with +3.9 in her Group 1 win, and backed it up when 2nd to BEIWACHT in the All Aged with +3.0 back to 1400. Deserves ongoing full respect.

    Subsequently: Winner Rosehill 26/09

    Skyhook
    Gosford
    Aug 31, 2026

    The 1.5 length winner of trial 2

    +0.2 lengths above benchmark ranked 2nd of the session

    Summary

    Let's cut to the chase: This was an outstanding trial at race pace that says he's going to take a power of beating when he goes to the races. -3.5 settling 2 lengths from the lead at the 800, before +0.8 and +0.3 last two sections which included a 1.1 length slowdown from the 400 to 200 and the 4th best last 600 of the morning. He's coming off a short break from the QLD carnival with his last run 13/06 when winning the Gunsynd on heavy ground at Eagle Farm, with best to date IVR figures of +1.2 and +1.1. He's a stallion clearly learning his craft, and his best looks still in front of him.

    Subsequently: Winner Rosehill 12/09 and winner Rosehill 26/09

    Skyhook
    Rosehill
    Sep 12, 2026

    The 1.1 length winner of Race 9

    +2.0 lengths above benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    We sizzled him at the trials from an electric +0.2 lengths above benchmark 2nd best of the session at Gosford lead in, and he's brought that here big time with a brand new PB first up off a 91 day break post QLD. (Albeit from a stable which specialises at it.) Stalked the lead going +0.8 at the 800, before excellent sustained closing speed of +2.6 and +3.9, with the 200 increments showing even splits that meant he clearly turned up fit. What's clear in his profile is he's an evolving stallion improving from -2.4 first prep, to -0.1 last spring, +1.2 April and this new level.

    Subsequently: Winner Randwick 26/09

    Warwoven
    Rosehill
    Sep 12, 2026

    The 0.3 length winner of Race 8

    -0.5 lengths below benchmark ranked 12th on the day

    Summary

    We stamped him a fortnight earlier when 5th after going back before producing the best last 800 of the day first up, and here while he went on with it getting the main prize, the hidden aspect of the data may see him underrated going forward. The 3 sections were +0.3 before -5.4 in the mid race and +4.7 last 400. That meant a super sharp loss of momentum with a 5.7 length slowdown from the 800 to the 400, before closing with the 4th best last 400 of the day. Everything points to him being a stronger horse this time in, and a big elevation is likely - which he'll need - in the Golden Rose.

    Subsequently: Winner Golden Rose 26/09

    Warwoven
    Rosehill
    Aug 29, 2026

    The 2.9 length 5th in Race 8

    -1.0 lengths below benchmark ranked 12th on the day

    Summary

    Boom 2yo from his debut win at Randwick 20/12 ranked 4th on the day, but missed the Magic Millions due to a setback. This excellent "hidden" return however says he could have a big race in him this spring. Went back on a leaders track with little market support going -4.4 at the 800, before +4.1 from the 800 to 400. That's a blistering 8.5 length mid race squeeze. The run ended with +2.3 from the 400 to 200, but just +0.1 last 200 in isolation. The best last 800, and 3rd best last 600 and 400 of the day however is an excellent metric, with the 22nd best last 200 showing the taper. Caulfield Guineas target??

    Subsequently: Winner Rosehill 12/09 at $8 then winner Golden Rose at $6

    Warwoven
    Randwick
    Aug 14, 2026

    The nose winner of trial 2

    -3.6 lengths below benchmark ranked 18th on the day

    Summary

    One of the boom 2yo's of last season, and right on point to progress as a spring 3yo. Peaked winning the Group 3 Pago Pago mid-March with -0.3 lengths below benchmark, but that was after being forced to miss the Magic Millions when favourite due to a setback. Here -13.3 and -0.2 first two section, but a very slick turn of foot closing with +3.0 last 400 said he's right on point. In fact the 200 increments show more. -1.1 from the 600 to 400, before +2.1 from the 400 to 200. That's a 3.2 length pick up over 200 metres which is super sharp. Last 200 was +0.9 meaning a 1.2 length drop off, so a big fitness elevation to come too!

    Subsequently: Unplaced first up then winner Rosehill 12/09 AND WINNER GOLDEN ROSE 26/09

    Botanical Boy
    Randwick
    Sep 11, 2026

    The 0.7 length 2nd in trial 3

    -5.0 lengths below benchmark ranked 10th of the session

    Summary

    This is the perfect mid-prep trial to set him up to his benchmark range best, noting his handicap rating means he qualifies for a basic benchmark race. Maybe sent back to Melbourne??? -12.3, before -1.3 and benchmark last 400 meant a solid 11 length squeeze, and a good sustained close. He resumed at Caulfield Heath on wet ground with just -7.3, then at Rosehill found a high pressure 1500 won by rising star MR MILLER. He won't be taking on similar quality next start and his two Geelong wins either side of the new year were on firm summer decks.

    Subsequently: Winner Warwick Farm 23/09

    General Salute
    Rosehill
    Jul 4, 2026

    The one length winner of Race 9

    -0.1 length below benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    We sizzled him from a booming first up benchmark 2nd over 1100 metres ranked 4th on the day, which included the best last 400 and 200 of the day. He followed that up with -4.8 when clearly still flat stepping to 1400 a fortnight later. Here staying at that distance brought his A-game big time. -3.3 below benchmark at the 800 when 3 lengths from the lead, before -2.7 in the mid race and +1.0 last 400. Now "in the zone" looks perfectly suited to the Winter Challenge back here in a fortnight over 1500 as the logical next step?

    Subsequently: 3rd Rosehill 18/03 and given a freshen up. Winner Randwick 19/09 Bill Ritchie Group 3

    Pallaton
    Caulfield
    Feb 21, 2026

    The 1.5 length winner of Race 2

    +1.0 lengths above benchmark ranked 5th on the day

    Summary

    This was a big performance! Came off a first up -2.2 here a fortnight back when firstly missing the start, then producing the 2nd best last 600 and 400 of the day, and here "got everything right" and said there's more to come. -3.2 at the 800 was a 2.8 length improvement of early speed, before +2.0 in the mid race and +3.2 last 400. That was all between the 400 and 200, so that late drop off can be put down to conditioning. At time of writing is heading to the Newmarket, and particularly if not favourite TENTYRIS misses the race, can be considered a long odds chance with a 2 length range elevation a realistic aim.

    REPOST AFTER CAULFIELD WIN 19/09 FIRST UP FIRST START G BEGG STABLE

About Racetrack Ralphy

After a career in mainstream media including The Footy Show, Sunday Footy Show, Triple M, the ABC and SEN, I started this service in 2012 and was then lucky enough to shortly after be paired with Vince Accardi (Daily Sectionals) at RSN. Despite being a passionate racing fan all my life including being hands-on as a strapper when a teenager, and a racing manager for a private owner that gave me privileged insights into the Bart Cummings and Lee Freedman stables, I soon learned how much I didn't know. I've since immersed myself in the study of sectional times, and now concentrate on Melbourne city racing for my "meetings" work.

In a nutshell, this is the type of information I would have wanted from a form guide back when I had a "real" job and before I started doing this

I provide a detailed race overview, surmised by a "suggested bet" reflective of my personal thoughts and confidence at time of posting Saturday morning*, (see below) a market to 100% with an assessed price for any runner $41 or below, I write a paragraph on nearly every horse, (the odd "no hoper" is given barely a line) with all analysis and opinions based on my own work and seen via the prism of Vince Accardi's IVR post meeting data reports.

Why the Italics of "at time of posting Saturday morning"?

The legendary Sydney form analyst Dominic Beirne once said "you'll quickly go broke ignoring the collective intelligence of the market". So when I post/make available for purchase early Saturday morning, I do so with the confidence that I have written up deeply researched information that has formed my opinions. However pre-race once a flood of money has cascaded into the market, "new" information has entered the equation and it shapes how I approach my personal confidence and thoughts, and particularly with "unknowns" such as a first up horse - how fit does the market expect it to be? - or a runner having his 2nd start after an easy slow time debut country win - does the market think he was capable of much more? - just two examples.

What don't I provide?

I don't tell you how you should spend your money with a staking plan. (I once did. I stopped it. My strength and this service's DNA is providing good quality deeply researched analysis.) As the old gag goes about legendary Australian businessman Kerry Packer, he was never a big punter despite betting millions because he never had his last $20 on anything. Everyone's personal circumstances and reasons for purchasing are different. I never cut corners with information provided nor intent for it to be helpful to each and every customer. From there use it how you wish and please gamble responsibly.

Swanny & Friends

After a debacle of a first season, Dane Swan is back to talk footy and irrelevant life issues. Mainly the latter.