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Detailed Runner By Runner Full Meeting Analysis

Next Meeting
Caulfield Rupert Clarke/Underwood day
19TH SEPTEMBER
NOW POSTED

Sizzlers Recent Winners

    General Salute
    Rosehill
    Jul 4, 2026

    The one length winner of Race 9

    -0.1 length below benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    We sizzled him from a booming first up benchmark 2nd over 1100 metres ranked 4th on the day, which included the best last 400 and 200 of the day. He followed that up with -4.8 when clearly still flat stepping to 1400 a fortnight later. Here staying at that distance brought his A-game big time. -3.3 below benchmark at the 800 when 3 lengths from the lead, before -2.7 in the mid race and +1.0 last 400. Now "in the zone" looks perfectly suited to the Winter Challenge back here in a fortnight over 1500 as the logical next step?

    Subsequently: 3rd Rosehill 18/03 and given a freshen up. Winner Randwick 19/09 Bill Ritchie Group 3

    Pallaton
    Caulfield
    Feb 21, 2026

    The 1.5 length winner of Race 2

    +1.0 lengths above benchmark ranked 5th on the day

    Summary

    This was a big performance! Came off a first up -2.2 here a fortnight back when firstly missing the start, then producing the 2nd best last 600 and 400 of the day, and here "got everything right" and said there's more to come. -3.2 at the 800 was a 2.8 length improvement of early speed, before +2.0 in the mid race and +3.2 last 400. That was all between the 400 and 200, so that late drop off can be put down to conditioning. At time of writing is heading to the Newmarket, and particularly if not favourite TENTYRIS misses the race, can be considered a long odds chance with a 2 length range elevation a realistic aim.

    REPOST AFTER CAULFIELD WIN 19/09 FIRST UP FIRST START G BEGG STABLE

    Birdman
    Doomben
    May 23, 2026

    The 2.7 length winner of Race 8

    +2.8 lengths above benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    Has continued his excellent campaign, that included +3.6 and +3.0 stakes wins at Flemington and Caulfield, and +2.5 when 2nd to PRIDE OF JENNI at the Gold Coast a fortnight back. Here turned the tables going -2.9 at the 800, before +1.9 in the mid race and +0.6 last 400. Did lose 0.8 of a length over the last 200 which obviously wasn't conditioning this deep into his prep, but reflective of the big sustained chase of the great front-running mare. If heading to the Q22 is likely to remain very competitive, and particularly if getting a softer "Non-PRIDE OF JENNI" tempo.

    Subsequently: Spelled. 2nd up Underwood winner Caulfield 19/09

    Zahrann
    Caulfield
    Aug 29, 2026

    The 1.6 length 4th in Race 9

    -0.2 lengths below benchmark ranked 13th on the day

    Summary

    Stand by! This was a huge return off an 84 day freshen from two winter "cameos" by this lightly raced import, to the point that he deserves serious respect towards the Cups Double. -2.0 lengths below benchmark at the 800 was 15 to 23 lengths faster than his first sections previous prep despite settling 9 lengths from the lead in the high pressure 1700. -0.3 in the mid race, before -5.3 last 400. Note however he did rebound a length over the last 200 in isolation under full pressure. This sets him up into the +2 range going forward as a conservative short term target. The Naturalism looks ideal from here.

    Subsequently: Winner Naturalism Caulfield 19/09

    Autumn Glow
    Randwick
    Aug 22, 2026

    The 1.4 length winner of Race 8

    +4.3 lengths above benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    Champion mare who's made it 12 wins from 13 starts with half of them at Group 1 level. She's beaten her previous best first up of +3.5 lengths above set in February, so her current all time best figure of +4.9 lengths above benchmark when winning the Epsom looks easily in here sights this time in. Landed 3 lengths from the lead at the 800 going -3.9 lengths below benchmark, before +7.3 in the mid race meaning a brilliant 11.2 length squeeze off a good tempo. The last 400 was +1.2, but note a sharp 4 length slowdown from the 400 to 200 as the leader caved. We look forward to seeing what she can do this spring.

    Subsequently: Winner 19/09 Randwick 

    Angel Capital
    Randwick
    Aug 8, 2026

    The 1.8 length 3rd in Race 8

    -0.7 lengths below benchmark ranked 8th on the day

    Summary

    A sound resuming run with the race shape dead against and it sets him up to run to his best next start in the Memsie at Caulfield, and note his PB is that track/distance when 2nd to JIMMYSSTAR last November with +3.3 lengths above benchmark. Here just -4.2 at the 800 when 5.7 lengths from the lead, before a booming 9 length squeeze going +3.6 from the 800 to 400. Last 400 was +4.3, with the last 3 x 200 increments +2.1, +2.2 and +2.1. This showed he turned up fit, so 3 weeks from this 2nd up says he's on point to run to his low 3 range best with ordinary luck.

    Subsequently: Unplaced Memsie 29/08 on wet ground then winner Rupert Clarke same T/D 19/09 

    General Salute
    Hawkesbury
    Aug 24, 2026

    The 0.7 length winner of trial 3

    -7.8 lengths below benchmark ranked 14th of the session.

    Summary

    The perfect mid-prep trial having not raced since 18/07 when 3rd on bog heavy ground after a best of day win in the Rosehill Winter Stakes. Here -7.7 and -7.3 first two sections under a hold, before -1.4 last 400. However the increments show it was just a late "explosion" going -3.0 from the 400 to 200, before +1.6 last 200 in isolation. That says he's in great order to return to the races, and perform at his benchmark to +1 range best with ordinary luck. 
    Subsequently: Winner Randwick 19/09 at $12!

    Night Agent
    Gosford
    Aug 18, 2026

    The 0.6 length winner of trial 3

    -3.4 lengths below benchmark ranked best of the session

    Summary

    Lightly raced 4yo still eligible for BM70 range races, and is ready to go to the races and take beating off this 2nd of his lead in trials on very wet ground. -4.9 at the 800, before -3.8 in the mid race and -6.4 last 400. The context is the 11th best last 800 and 13th best last 600 of the session meant genuine race simulation in the conditions. He won his maiden first up last prep at Port Macquarie for the "easy kill" with a blistering best last 600, 400 and 200 of the day, and after an unplaced run at Flemington won at Beaumont by 10 lengths. His PB is -2.1 and that's a likely winning figure if he brings it first up placed conservatively.

    Subsequently: 2nd up winner Randwick 19/09

    Aethelwulf
    Rosehill
    Aug 29, 2026

    The 2 length winner of Race 3

    -2.7 lengths below benchmark ranked 30th on the day

    Summary

    3 wins in a row, and four from five all by big margins and seriously on the rise! Only a modest IVR time, but it was all about the very soft tempo early, in contrast to his two leads ins when going +3.2 and +1.8 first two sections when -1.3 and +1.3 respectively winning at Kembla and Canterbury respectively. Here just -12.0 lengths below benchmark at the 800 when stalking the lead pack, before +2.3 in the mid race meaning a booming 14.3 length squeeze, and he went on with it with +5.5 last 400 winning effortlessly. We look forward to measuring his progress with the Metropolitan a logical spring target. 

    Subsequently: Winner Newcastle Cup 18/09

    Perfumist
    Rosehill
    Aug 21, 2026

    The 1.6 length 2nd in trial 6

    -1.3 lengths below benchmark ranked 4th on the session

    Summary

    May have another trial before going to the races, but this mare is in for a big spring. Won at Randwick over the mile Epsom handicap day over subsequent Group 1 winner IDLE FLYER in outstanding time producing +4.6 lengths above benchmark ranked 3rd on the multiple Group 1 day, before the runner up turned the tables a fortnight later when +2.3 lengths above benchmark. That stated she was a genuine talent. Didn't really come up last time in, but this trial says she's back on track big time. -7.8, +1.1 and +3.8 with the context the 2nd best last 800, 600 and 400 of the morning. Empire Rose or Big Dance grand final???

    Subsequently: First up stakes winner Newcastle 21/09

    Perfumist
    Warwick Farm
    Sep 3, 2026

    The 4.4 length winner of trial 3

    -4.3 lengths below benchmark ranked 11th on the day

    Summary

    She's back! We stamped her trial 21/08 at Rosehill when -1.3 lengths below benchmark over 900 metres which included the 2nd best last 800, 600 and 400 of the day, writing she might have one more trial and she's had it! And significantly it was over 1200 metres from a "miles in legs" perspective. -6.8 and -7.3 first two sections leading in cruise mode, but +6.4 last 400 meant a booming 13.7 length turn of foot. The last 200 in isolation was a brilliant +4.8 lengths above benchmark. She didn't really come up last prep, but her outstanding +4.6 winning Randwick mile last October says she's an Epsom chance this time in.

    Subsequently: First up stakes winner Tibbie at Newcastle 18/09

    Beautiful You
    Rosehill
    Aug 7, 2026

    The 0.7 length winner of trial 8

    -5.2 lengths below benchmark ranked 13th of the session

    Summary

    A modest IVR figure, but top 13 of a "serious" session full of stakes winning city horses, and the best of the 5 heats over 1030 metres says this unraced filly can go straight to the races and take a power of beating. -5.7 before +1.8 stalking the lead meant a booming 7.5 length mid race squeeze. She tapered late going -6.3 while winning the heat without being pushed. 

    Subsequently: Beaten a nose on debut Wyong 16/08 at $7:50 then winner Canberra 04/09. Winner Illawarra 16/09 at $10!

About Racetrack Ralphy

After a career in mainstream media including The Footy Show, Sunday Footy Show, Triple M, the ABC and SEN, I started this service in 2012 and was then lucky enough to shortly after be paired with Vince Accardi (Daily Sectionals) at RSN. Despite being a passionate racing fan all my life including being hands-on as a strapper when a teenager, and a racing manager for a private owner that gave me privileged insights into the Bart Cummings and Lee Freedman stables, I soon learned how much I didn't know. I've since immersed myself in the study of sectional times, and now concentrate on Melbourne city racing for my "meetings" work.

In a nutshell, this is the type of information I would have wanted from a form guide back when I had a "real" job and before I started doing this

I provide a detailed race overview, surmised by a "suggested bet" reflective of my personal thoughts and confidence at time of posting Saturday morning*, (see below) a market to 100% with an assessed price for any runner $41 or below, I write a paragraph on nearly every horse, (the odd "no hoper" is given barely a line) with all analysis and opinions based on my own work and seen via the prism of Vince Accardi's IVR post meeting data reports.

Why the Italics of "at time of posting Saturday morning"?

The legendary Sydney form analyst Dominic Beirne once said "you'll quickly go broke ignoring the collective intelligence of the market". So when I post/make available for purchase early Saturday morning, I do so with the confidence that I have written up deeply researched information that has formed my opinions. However pre-race once a flood of money has cascaded into the market, "new" information has entered the equation and it shapes how I approach my personal confidence and thoughts, and particularly with "unknowns" such as a first up horse - how fit does the market expect it to be? - or a runner having his 2nd start after an easy slow time debut country win - does the market think he was capable of much more? - just two examples.

What don't I provide?

I don't tell you how you should spend your money with a staking plan. (I once did. I stopped it. My strength and this service's DNA is providing good quality deeply researched analysis.) As the old gag goes about legendary Australian businessman Kerry Packer, he was never a big punter despite betting millions because he never had his last $20 on anything. Everyone's personal circumstances and reasons for purchasing are different. I never cut corners with information provided nor intent for it to be helpful to each and every customer. From there use it how you wish and please gamble responsibly.

Swanny & Friends

After a debacle of a first season, Dane Swan is back to talk footy and irrelevant life issues. Mainly the latter.