REPOST AFTER 2025 EPSOM WIN

We wrote after her debut win when +0.9 lengths above benchmark ranked 2nd best of the day that "the hype is real" and this run only enhances it as a genuine budding star. +3.3 at the 800 was 5 lengths more early speed despite settling 3.4 lengths from the leader. 0.0 mid race meant a 3.2 length slowdown, yet rebounded hard with +1.4 last 400. Note she lost 1.4 lengths momentum from the 400 to 200. That clearly says more improvement is possible from here, and if that occurs she's into the top shelf of runners in the country. Look forward to measuring her progress!

Subsequently: Winner Tea Rose Randwick 21/09

REPOST AFTER 2025 EPSOM WIN

This was a serious debut win and the hype from it is real! A just turned 3yo filly to produce a 2nd best of the day performance is very rare, and particularly for a first starter. -1.8 at the 800 sitting 3.3 lengths from the lead. Actually lost 0.5 of a length in the mid race, before producing an excellent turn of foot going -0.6 last 400. The micro-splits were what really impressed. -1.7 from the 400 to 200, before +1.0 last 200. Raw time adjusted up 5.6 lengths allowing for the soft track early in the day. She's heading one way: upwards!

Subsequently: Winner Up and Coming Rosehill 31/08. Winner Tea Rose Randwick 21/09

Slow maturing 4yo who took a good step forward last prep peaking with +0.8 lengths above benchmark winning a fast mid-weeker at Warwick Farm before winning a Hawkesbury Stakes race at 1400 with -1.0 on wet ground. Here -0.1 and -0.1 first two sections reflecting he's a quick on-pacer, before +2.1 last 400 so lacking a big turn of foot. Stepping to 1400 and back around a bend - perhaps the Paris Lane here in 3 weeks? or Weekend Hussler Caulfield Guineas Day? - looks ideal from here? Has the capacity to produce good early speed which is a big asset if on a "fence on" day. 

Subsequently: Winner Paris Lane Flemington 04/10

Serious horse on the rise who we've sizzled in all three Australian starts. Virtually matched his +2.5 lengths above benchmark first up mile 2nd Randwick, with the difference in the race shape being an extra two lengths in the mid race squeeze. Stalked the lead pack going -4.0 at the 800, before +4.2 in the mid race, and +1.8 last 400. Lost 0.4 of a length over the last 200 strongly indicating there's good conditioning improvement to come, as he progresses towards his Melbourne Cup goal likely to be in 3 runs time. Clearly a key player in any races he contests towards it and we look forward to measuring his progress.

Subsequently: Winner Turnbull Stakes 04/10 Flemington

Seriously promising colt who produced the perfect return that will have him run a bold race in the Golden Rose and most probably the Caulfield Guineas after. (Where he's probably more suited.) Won his first two starts Canterbury and Eagle Farm in June with just -8.1 and -2.0 lengths below benchmark respectively, however on both occasions he's closed hard with a booming +7.5 followed by +4.0. Here has smashed both of those runs and with goals ahead. -3.0 at the 800, before -0.8 in the mid race, with a last 400 of +1.7. That last section on the quickest part of the track screams he's going one direction: Upwards!

Subsequently: Winner Epsom 04/10

High class sprinter who showed he's bang on target to peak in the Everest with this first up run which was his best resuming performance by 2 lengths, and within a length of his all time PB when winning the TJ Smith April. -2.2 at the 800, before +2.8 mid race and +4.5 last 400. Typical of the grand final trainers, there was scope for improvement ahead losing 1.6 lengths last 200. This was also shown via the 3rd best last 600 of the day, but the 29th best last 200. Given his slow maturing profile, everything points to a new level this spring. Will it be good enough in what shapes as an all time vintage year???

Subsequently: Winner Randwick 04/10

Job done winning the target Stradbroke, and it will be no surprise if Team Hayes can no turn him into a serious WFA player. (A MR BRIGHTSIDE replacement???) +1.8 at the 800 with perfect Tim Clark positioning had him 3.3 lengths from the leaders who were overdoing it. +1.2 in the mid race before +0.9 last 400, but note a 1.2 length slowdown from the 400 to 200, before a +0.9 last 200 under full pressure. That dip at the top of the straight was arguably the difference in him repeating his +2.3 lead in at Doomben. He's improved 1.2 lengths this prep, and a similar elevation in the spring would put a Memsie in play?

Subsequently: Spelled first up winner Flemington 04/10

Two from two this time in after just one run as a 2yo, and after Sizzling her from the Randwick 1200 win with -1.1 lengths below benchmark, the race shape here screams to stick with her despite a softer overall IVR time. -8.4 ridden quietly had her only 2.4 lengths from the leader, but a significant 8 lengths slower first section race to race. -1.7 in the mid race was a "cruisey" 6.7 lengths squeeze, before letting down with +3.2 last 400 running away. In a nutshell she's "won with a bludge" and that sets her up to produce a big new PB in the Flight Stakes Group 1 target.

Subsequently: Winner Flight Stakes Randwick 04/10

Happy to call this a "bonus win" on the way through elevating from -2.9 first up when 3rd at Moonee Valley also at 1200, but with a big 3rd up peak last time in with +1.0 Flemington 1400. Here -1.1 at the 800, before Benchmark last two sections, but it did included a one length slowdown from the 400 to 200, before a "last bit best bit" +1.6 length pick up under full pressure over the last 200 in isolation. Either to headquarters or back here for a mares stakes race at 1400 range looks ideal. 

Subsequently: Winner Flemington 04/10

Nice win! On a leader advantaged day, she's made up 6.4 lengths from the front when going -4.2 at the 800 in a high pressure race shape. -0.2 in the mid race, before +0.6 last 400 before getting up in the last stride. The last 200 was a 2.2 length "launch" which was the 17th best of the day at the end of 2000 metres. She's dragged her PB up a significant 3 lengths, and did so while stepping from a mile to 2000 metres. Highly likely to get a softer tempo race shape from here and that should equate to further improvement 4th up. Looks set for a very solid winter.

Subsequently: 0.3 length 2nd Flemington 21/06 then winner Flemington 05/07. Spell then winner Sandown 01/10

 A very low IVR figure to include in Sizzlers, but this horse who likes to relax in his races was 2nd up and instead asked to produce blistering early speed. +4.8 at the 800 was the fastest he's gone in his 28 start career! In addition at Eagle Farm a fortnight earlier, his first section was -5.6 so 10.4 lengths faster race to race stepping from 1200 to the mile! So +1.6 in the mid race before -3.9 last 400 explained the gas out with the last 200 in isolation a "fall off the cliff" -2.8. His asset is closing speed when ridden quietly with ten performances over the last 400 of +4.6 to +9.7. Could rebound hard at odds from here.

Subsequently: Spelled first up unplaced Randwick 06/09 before winner Rosehill 27/09

Good return 2nd up 2nd prep with Team Archibald (Neesham) and with ordinary luck he should win again soon. -2.9 at the 800 had him 3.8 lengths from the lead, before -0.4 and +0.9 last 2 sections. However did lose 0.9 of a length last 200, and note his closing speed when fit is fully franked at +4.0 to up to +7.6. That strongly suggests going to the more spacious Eagle Farm in similar should see him very hard to stop from going one better. 

Subsequently: Unplaced Randwick 28/06. Unplaced first up Rosehill 30/08 then winner Rosehill 27/09