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Detailed Runner By Runner Full Meeting Analysis

Next Meeting
Magic Millions Day preview podcasts Gold Coast
January 17
First podcast posted Friday morning updated Saturday

Sizzlers Recent Winners

    Chica Mojito
    Rosehill
    Dec 7, 2025

    The 0.8 length 3rd in Race 8

    -0.1 lengths below benchmark ranked 7th on the day

    Summary

    Now 5yo mare looking for her first Australian win since arriving April 2024, but has been in multiple stakes races, and this performance was her clear best resuming run. -2.6 at the 800 had her 8 lengths from the lone leader who was overdoing it, before a super strong 6.8 length squeeze going +4.2 from the 800 to 400. Closed with +0.3 last 400, and this is where further improvement should come from with her close regularly 3-4 lengths faster. Should be in for a very successful summer if this is the starting point. 

    Subsequently: 3rd Gosford 28/12 Group 3 then winner $500,000 Wyong Lakes at $17!

    Yellow Brick
    Eagle Farm
    Jun 14, 2025

    The 0.8 length 2nd in Race 8

    +0.9 lengths above benchmark ranked 3rd on the day

    Summary

    Went from going forward and gassing right out at Doomben first up 3 weeks earlier, to going back and running a "bottler" with a 2nd in the Group 1 Stradbroke. -1.1 at the 800 had him 6.2 lengths from the lead, before +0.6 in the mid race and +3.6 last 400 including +2.4 last 200. He actually has three IVR performances above +2.0 including a Sunshine Coast PB of +2.4 set over 1200 metres. It might mean his next run is the Glasshouse there before a spring let up??? If so he should take a power of beating as note he has serious gate speed if asked.

    Subsequently: 4 unplaced Sydney runs in spring. First up Gold Coast winner 10/01

    Spywire
    Kembla Grange
    Nov 22, 2025

    The 0.8 length winner of Race 3

    +0.3 lengths above benchmark ranked 3rd on the day

    Summary

    One time promising 2yo who was Magic Millions placed, but failed to win from January 2024 to last start Doomben 16/08, though we did include him in Sizzlers now gelded Rosehill 28/06 when -0.6 lengths above benchmark. At the time that was a new PB which he's eclipsed here first up in a very solid return. -2.4 at the 800 stalking the lead, before +2.3 in the mid race and +4.5 last 400, so clearly before rain had impacted the surface. What's clear is he's turned up fit with the addition of a trial 13/11 and just a short 98 day spell, so the likelihood of any flatness going forward should be a non-factor.

    Subsequently: 3rd Wyong 10/12, unplaced Canterbury 01/01 then winner Gold Coast 10/01

    Miss Joelene
    Eagle Farm
    Dec 27, 2025

    The nose 2nd in Race 7

    -2.8 lengths below benchmark ranked 12th on the day

    Summary

    Came off her brilliant +1.8 a fortnight earlier here over 1500, but this was a huge run chasing and just failing after fit leader AMOR VICTORIOUS. -16.1 lengths below benchmark at the 800 was 16 lengths slower first section race to race, while +5.4 in the mid race meant a phenomenal 21.5 length squeeze. That she went on with it with +6.8 last 400 that included the 8th best last 400 and 200 of the day confirmed she couldn't have done more under this race shape. Looks set for Magic Millions day over the longer trip and should take a power of beating.

    Subsequently: Winner Gold Coast 10/01

    Miss Joelene
    Eagle Farm
    Dec 13, 2025

    The 1 length winner of Race 7

    +1.8 lengths above benchmark ranked best of the day

    Summary

    Super winning performance by this quality staying mare who smashed her previous PB of -0.5 set when winning at Eagle Farm in June over 2100 metres, and produced a blistering raw time of +8.0 lengths above benchmark adjusted down due to the high pressure and good track. -0.1 at the 800 was excellent speed for her, but 6.7 lengths from the lead. "Went to work" from there with +4.9 and +3.2 last 2 sections even tapering over the last 200 losing 1.8 in a "least tired" late set up. With a "better further" profile, she should continue to be very hard to beat in summer stakes races.

    Subsequently: Beaten a nose Eagle Farm 27/12 then winner Gold Coast 10/01

    Now Is The Hour
    Eagle Farm
    Dec 20, 2025

    The 3.9 lengths winner of Race 3

    +0.4 lengths above benchmark ranked 5th on the day

    Summary

    Made it 3 wins from 5 starts for the new stable and this drags his PB from -0.5 but with a blistering raw time of +7.0 lengths above benchmark to go with it. Led going +0.6 at the 800, before +6.2 in the mid race and that "hammer down" of speed busted open all the opposition. Closed with +0.2 last 400 losing 1.6 lengths last 200 in isolation. This type of pure speed deserves ongoing respect and more wins would be no surprise. 

    Subsequently: Winner Gold Coast 10/01 

    Gallant Son
    Flemington
    Mar 29, 2025

    The 0.5 length 2nd in Race 7

    +0.1 lengths above benchmark ranked 7th on the day

    Summary

    This is a good talent who "didn't turn up" resuming here 3 weeks earlier as a disappointing favourite when 3rd but just -3.5 lengths below benchmark, but here has dragged his PB from -1.4 after a best of day 6 length debut win Sale when -2.1 lengths below benchmark June 2024. -2.6 at the 800, -0.8 in the mid race, before +2.3 last 400. Actually lost 0.5 of a length last 200 in isolation, and that strongly suggests peak run from here. Has tactical speed if asked, and back around a bend looks ideal.

    Subsequently: 2nd and 4th in SA stakes races and spelled. First up winner Flemington 10/01

    Whinchat
    Scone
    May 17, 2025

    The 0.2 length 2nd in Race 10

    +1.1 lengths above benchmark ranked 2nd on the day

    Summary

    Amazing performance from this tough front-runner having his first run in 427 days to be just beaten in track record time. +5.1 at the 800 and +6.1 in the mid race meant blistering sustained speed, before +2.4 last 400. Raw time was +13.6 adjusted down for the clearly very firm surface. We'd like to see at least 3 weeks between runs as there's an obvious chance of flatness next start going forward. If he stays fit and well his PB is +1.7 which is very strong out of carnival time.  Slow OK. Very wet an unknown.

    Subsequently: 3 unplaced runs and spelled. 2nd up winner Wyong standalone Saturday 10/01

    Yoyo Yeezy
    Eagle Farm
    Dec 13, 2025

    The 0.8 length winner of Race 4

    -0.3 lengths below benchmark ranked 6th on the day

    Summary

    Lightly raced 4yo resuming with his 3rd start after bolting in here 23/07 when -0.8 lengths below benchmark. Led going +0.7 at the 800 when going 3.2 lengths faster race to race. +1.2 in the mid race, before +2.0 last 400. Of note was he lost 1.4 lengths over the last 200 in isolation strongly suggesting there's good fitness to come noting he only had one trial leading in. This taper was also seen with the 5th best last 600, but only the 37th best last 200 of the day. This is just BM70 company, so natural progression can see him work through his classes. 

    Subsequently: Winner Eagle Farm 07/01

    Harry's Yacht
    Ballarat
    Dec 6, 2025

    The 0.8 length 2nd in Race 3

    -4.7 lengths below benchmark ranked 31st on the day

    Summary

    We rarely include the unlucky runner - he was certainly that - but this sprinter either needs to use the early speed he possesses, or have clear air for his big closing sprint which has been in the +6.2 to +6.7 range. The former was in his first up Bendigo win which included the 3rd best last 600 and the 2nd best last 400 and 200 of their Cup Day. Here -3.6 at the 800 after a slightly slow start and "stuck" from the low draw, before -0.2 and -3.9 last two sections. Lost a sharp 2.4 lengths in traffic from the 400 to 200, before a late 0.8 length pick up. Ideal off season type with a benchmark rating of just 80 at present.

    Subsequently: 2nd Cranbourne 27/12 then winner Geelong 03/01

    Sweethearted
    Pakenham
    Dec 13, 2025

    The 0.4 length 3rd in Race 4

    -1.2 lengths below benchmark ranked 22nd on the day

    Summary

    Just missed being "fashioned" into a 1000 sprint on his home town Cup Day, but he's better further and couldn't have done much more under this circumstance. -3.9 at the 800, before +0.5 in the mid race and +5.4 last 400. He produced the 2nd best last 800 of the day, as well as the 3rd best last 400 and 200 of the day. He enjoyed getting away from the very wet Flemington track and should be very hard to beat in similar in the 1100-1200 range from here, with a benchmark performance a realistic aim. 

    Subsequently: Winner Geelong 03/01

    Need Some Luck
    Flemington
    Nov 8, 2025

    The 1.8 length winner of Race 3

    +0.5 lengths above benchmark ranked 9th on the day

    Summary

    Cracking "2nd tier" sprinter with 6 wins and 12 top two finishes from his 15 start career, and he came to play first up on the heavy going off sharp lead in trials. -9.6, -6.8 and -3.4 showed he continued to build through the race running the best last 800, 600 and 400 of the day. Another solid wet track indicator of +6.7 with a +10.2 in the locker from the Gold Coast in May. His all time PB is +1.7, and he has a +0.4 set winning at Warwick Farm October 2024 over 1400, so he's not one-dimensional! Should have more success this summer with his premium consistency. 

    Subsequently: Unplaced Cranbourne 22/11 then winner Eagle Farm 03/12


About Racetrack Ralphy

After a career in mainstream media including The Footy Show, Sunday Footy Show, Triple M, the ABC and SEN, I started this service in 2012 and was then lucky enough to shortly after be paired with Vince Accardi (Daily Sectionals) at RSN. Despite being a passionate racing fan all my life including being hands-on as a strapper when a teenager, and a racing manager for a private owner that gave me privileged insights into the Bart Cummings and Lee Freedman stables, I soon learned how much I didn't know. I've since immersed myself in the study of sectional times, and now concentrate on Melbourne city racing for my "meetings" work.

In a nutshell, this is the type of information I would have wanted from a form guide back when I had a "real" job and before I started doing this

I provide a detailed race overview, surmised by a "suggested bet" reflective of my personal thoughts and confidence at time of posting Saturday morning*, (see below) a market to 100% with an assessed price for any runner $41 or below, I write a paragraph on nearly every horse, (the odd "no hoper" is given barely a line) with all analysis and opinions based on my own work and seen via the prism of Vince Accardi's IVR post meeting data reports.

Why the Italics of "at time of posting Saturday morning"?

The legendary Sydney form analyst Dominic Beirne once said "you'll quickly go broke ignoring the collective intelligence of the market". So when I post/make available for purchase early Saturday morning, I do so with the confidence that I have written up deeply researched information that has formed my opinions. However pre-race once a flood of money has cascaded into the market, "new" information has entered the equation and it shapes how I approach my personal confidence and thoughts, and particularly with "unknowns" such as a first up horse - how fit does the market expect it to be? - or a runner having his 2nd start after an easy slow time debut country win - does the market think he was capable of much more? - just two examples.

What don't I provide?

I don't tell you how you should spend your money with a staking plan. (I once did. I stopped it. My strength and this service's DNA is providing good quality deeply researched analysis.) As the old gag goes about legendary Australian businessman Kerry Packer, he was never a big punter despite betting millions because he never had his last $20 on anything. Everyone's personal circumstances and reasons for purchasing are different. I never cut corners with information provided nor intent for it to be helpful to each and every customer. From there use it how you wish and please gamble responsibly.

Swanny & Friends

After a debacle of a first season, Dane Swan is back to talk footy and irrelevant life issues. Mainly the latter.